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Q2 Weather: Tranquility Wednesday in Billings, but threatening weather coming on Thursday

Posted at 2:29 PM, Jun 27, 2018
and last updated 2018-06-27 16:29:14-04
[youtube https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oLKsw_MHbQg?rel=0&showinfo=0]

BILLINGS – Wednesday has turned out to be a beautiful day from one side of Montana to the other.

Here the Billings area, you can see clearly for 70 to 80 miles, and then there’s hardly a cloud for hundreds of miles.

In the early afternoon the temps are into the 70s working their way up into the 80s.

Our severe thunderstorm Outlook for Wednesday shows only a few isolated showers in extreme southeastern corner of the state. 

The only thunderstorms we can see are those that developed over the Black Hills of South Dakota and a few spotty rain showers up by Kalispell. Everyone else is mostly sunny skies.

However, the forecast changes drastically on Thursday.

There will be a marginal risk of severe storms for the Billings area and an increased risk of severe storms for the eastern edge of the state.

Multiple severe storms are likely in extreme Eastern Montana to the central part of North Dakota. There we could see a lot of hail and several tornadoes develop.

Our high resolution computer model shows an upper-level trough, a new cold front and a lot of instability in the atmosphere coming together to create severe storms.

All that starts to take place in Western Montana around noon on Thursday, but the storms really get going after 6 PM and sweep across the rest of Eastern Montana.

BILLINGS FORECAST

Tonight: Mostly clear and mild. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Low 60 degrees.

Thursday: Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance for showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Some of the storms may become severe. West winds 5 to 10 mph the morning becoming northeasterly 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. High 83 degrees.

Friday: Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of scattered showers in the morning, then scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. High 70 degrees.