“It is a beautiful day in our neighborhood” on this early Wednesday afternoon; there are mostly sunny skies with just a few clouds over Billings and the temperature is only in the low 70s.
Our thunderstorm Outlook does call for an increased risk of severe storms in north-central Wyoming and south central Montana.
Around that increased risk is a marginal risk of severe storms that include Livingston, Billings and Miles City. Beyond that, we see just isolated showers for Glasgow to Great Falls.
The current Doppler radar and satellite imagery shows just a few high clouds across southern Montana at the moment.
But when you pull back to include northern Wyoming we do see some thunderstorms developing South of Cody and South of Sheridan.
Flooding is still an issue today for the Yellowstone River at Livingston and the Clarks Fork of the Yellowstone at Edgar.
Both are in Flood Warning and expected to get above flood stage on Thursday.
Our High Resolution forecast model shows the showers and thunderstorms will be developing in the Bighorn basin and producing big storms in the Bighorn Mountains.
Billings could see some showers move in around 7 p.m. as the next shortwave disturbance moves through north-central Wyoming.
After that, Billings next chance for showers is expected to be around 3 p.m. on Thursday.
So in the meantime, our temperatures are forecast to look more summer-like than spring-like.
Tonight: Turning cloudy with a 30% chance for showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Low 56°.
Thursday: Mostly sunny with a 40% chance for showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon, some may be severe. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming easterly in the afternoon. High 82°.
Friday: Mostly sunny, warm and dry. West winds 5 to 15 mph. High 82°.