Quantcast

Asteroid that just buzzed Earth may not miss on future visit - KTVQ.com | Q2 | Continuous News Coverage | Billings, MT

Asteroid that just buzzed Earth may not miss on future visit

Posted: Updated:
This animation depicts the flyby of asteroid 2012 TC4 as it passes by Earth.  (NASA/JPL-CALTECH) This animation depicts the flyby of asteroid 2012 TC4 as it passes by Earth. (NASA/JPL-CALTECH)

The house-sized asteroid that just passed by Earth, almost as close as many satellites in orbit, will be back, and a future visit might lead to it taking up permanent residency here.

Early Wednesday morning, Asteroid 2012 TC4 safely passed by our planet at an altitude of 27,300 miles (44,000 kilometers), just a few thousand miles above the level of satellites in geosychronous orbit. That's nearly twice as close as when it passed us almost exactly five years ago, about a week after it was first discovered in October 2012.

The most recent models of the space rock's future path, which can be altered by Earth's gravity each time it makes a close pass, have ruled out the possibility that it will impact Earth when it makes another close call in 2050. 

But the same can't be said for its visit in 2079.

"We know today that it will also not hit the Earth in the year 2050, but the close flyby in 2050 might deflect the asteroid such that it could hit the Earth in the year 2079," Rüdiger Jehn of the European Space Agency said. 

The odds of an impact 62 years from now are currently placed at about 1 in 750.

Fortunately, if 2012 TC4 does attempt to give us a violent cosmic body blow, it probably won't be the same kind of existential collision that did in the dinosaurs. In fact, it's likely smaller than the bolide that exploded when it hit the atmosphere over Russia in 2013, blowing out a bunch of windows in Chelyabinsk in the process.

It's space rocks like that one that pose the bigger risk, because it was never observed until it became a fireball in the sky that day. All the more reason to point more eyes and lenses toward the sky to find the 99 percent of asteroids in the solar system big enough to level a city that are believed to still be undiscovered.

This article originally appeared on CNET.

© 2017 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.

WEATHER
Powered by Frankly

© KTVQ.com 2018, KTVQ.com
A CORDILLERA COMMUNICATIONS Station
All rights reserved
Privacy Policy, | Terms of Service, and Ad Choices

Can't find something?